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Thursday, November 29, 2007

Forex Fundamental Analysis - 30 November 2007

Thursday, November 29, 2007
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Friday, November 30th, 2007 (1:45 a.m. New York Time) SWITZERLAND
First, we will have Swiss CPI y/y which is expected to come out at 1.5% versus 1.3%. I think if it comes out at 1.3%, same as last quarter, USD/CHF may possibly go up by 30 pips or more in the first hour of the report. On the other hand, if it reads 1.7% or higher, I think USD/CHF may possibly go down by 50 pips or more in the first hour of the report.

SUMMARY:
* Report: Swiss CPI y/y
* Buy on USD/CHF if the number will be 1.3% or lower
* Sell on USD/CHF if the number will be 1.7% or higher

Friday, November 30th, 2007 (8:30 a.m. New York Time) CANADA
Then we will have Canadian GDP coming out at 8:30 a.m. The market is mostly talking about annualizing reading which is expected to come out at 2.2%; however, the m/m reading is also important. In my opinion, I would watch the m/m reading and make sure the annual does not conflict. If the m/m reads at 0.4% or higher, I think USD/CAD may possibly go down by 30 pips or more in the first hour of the report, and EUR/CAD may possibly go down by 50 pips or more in the first hour of the report. If on the other hand we will see a reading of -0.1% or more negative, I think the USD/CAD may possibly gain 30 pips or more, and EUR/CAD may possibly gain 50 pips or more in the first hour of the report.


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Forex Fundamental Analysis - 30 November 2007

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Friday, November 30th, 2007 (1:45 a.m. New York Time) SWITZERLAND
First, we will have Swiss CPI y/y which is expected to come out at 1.5% versus 1.3%. I think if it comes out at 1.3%, same as last quarter, USD/CHF may possibly go up by 30 pips or more in the first hour of the report. On the other hand, if it reads 1.7% or higher, I think USD/CHF may possibly go down by 50 pips or more in the first hour of the report.

SUMMARY:
* Report: Swiss CPI y/y
* Buy on USD/CHF if the number will be 1.3% or lower
* Sell on USD/CHF if the number will be 1.7% or higher

Friday, November 30th, 2007 (8:30 a.m. New York Time) CANADA
Then we will have Canadian GDP coming out at 8:30 a.m. The market is mostly talking about annualizing reading which is expected to come out at 2.2%; however, the m/m reading is also important. In my opinion, I would watch the m/m reading and make sure the annual does not conflict. If the m/m reads at 0.4% or higher, I think USD/CAD may possibly go down by 30 pips or more in the first hour of the report, and EUR/CAD may possibly go down by 50 pips or more in the first hour of the report. If on the other hand we will see a reading of -0.1% or more negative, I think the USD/CAD may possibly gain 30 pips or more, and EUR/CAD may possibly gain 50 pips or more in the first hour of the report.


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Winning Solution System Signal - 30 November 2007

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By: Winning Solution System V.9.4.3 Final Version

(Time Frame 30M)
Use 5-10% margin only! no more!
Valid Time 00.00 - 17.00 London Time


GBP/USD


[CLICK ON IMAGE TO ENLARGE]

Buy : @2.0696 | TP @2.0801 | SL @2.0666
Sell : @2.0656 | TP @2.0509 | SL @2.0686


GBP/JPY


[CLICK ON IMAGE TO ENLARGE]

Buy : @227.35 | TP @229.16 | SL @227.05

Sell : @226.95 | TP @224.75 | SL @227.25



EUR/JPY


[CLICK ON IMAGE TO ENLARGE]

Buy : @162.62 | TP @163.62 | SL @162.32
Sell : @162.22 | TP @160.99 | SL @162.52


Happy Trading ^_^


Disclaimer:
Trade the signals at your own risk.


Interested to Join Winning Solution System?
Click on the image below to get more information :

forex signals



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Winning Solution System Signal - 30 November 2007

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By: Winning Solution System V.9.4.3 Final Version

(Time Frame 30M)
Use 5-10% margin only! no more!
Valid Time 00.00 - 17.00 London Time


GBP/USD


[CLICK ON IMAGE TO ENLARGE]

Buy : @2.0696 | TP @2.0801 | SL @2.0666
Sell : @2.0656 | TP @2.0509 | SL @2.0686


GBP/JPY


[CLICK ON IMAGE TO ENLARGE]

Buy : @227.35 | TP @229.16 | SL @227.05

Sell : @226.95 | TP @224.75 | SL @227.25



EUR/JPY


[CLICK ON IMAGE TO ENLARGE]

Buy : @162.62 | TP @163.62 | SL @162.32
Sell : @162.22 | TP @160.99 | SL @162.52


Happy Trading ^_^


Disclaimer:
Trade the signals at your own risk.


Interested to Join Winning Solution System?
Click on the image below to get more information :

forex signals



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Daily Market Comment - 30 November 2007

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EUR-USD
1.4744. Overall structure is bearish. Decelerating momentum could attract it towards supports at 1.4701 or 1.4697. Major support is clustered around 1.4666 limit.
USD-CHF
1.1179. While below 1.1223 it is more likely to fall further towards 1.1142 or 1.11200. Premature rise above 1.1223 could see it rising above 1.1267 zone.
USD-JPY
109.93. Strength can extend to 110.12 or even higher than 110.34 as declines are expected to find support at 109.70 or 109.50. A fall below 109.06 could turn it bearish.
GBP-USD
2.0613. Prefer a fall to 2.0604 or 2.0531. Then a correction to 2.0718 is anticipated. A clear break of 2.0450 is again bearish.
EUR-CHF
1.6482. Decline should be supported around 1.6467 - 1.6451 zone for rally to above 1.6525. A clear break of 1.6451 will damage this expected rally.
EUR-JPY
162.09. Current move should be supported in 161.83 zone for a rise to above 164.47. A break below 160.37 opens the way down.
EUR-GBP
0.7152. It should be subject to more sell off towards 0.7130 or 0.7109. Corrective upward swings should face resistance around 0.7165 area. A break of 0.7178 is bullish.
AUD-USD
0.8813. While above 0.8794 - 0.8757 zone a corrective upmove could test 0.8859 or 0.8886. After which it should resume its downtrend.
USD-CAD
0.9983. It should trade lower to 0.9881. Resistances are at 0.9989 and 1.0039. A break of 1.0119 is bullish.


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Daily Market Comment - 30 November 2007

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EUR-USD
1.4744. Overall structure is bearish. Decelerating momentum could attract it towards supports at 1.4701 or 1.4697. Major support is clustered around 1.4666 limit.
USD-CHF
1.1179. While below 1.1223 it is more likely to fall further towards 1.1142 or 1.11200. Premature rise above 1.1223 could see it rising above 1.1267 zone.
USD-JPY
109.93. Strength can extend to 110.12 or even higher than 110.34 as declines are expected to find support at 109.70 or 109.50. A fall below 109.06 could turn it bearish.
GBP-USD
2.0613. Prefer a fall to 2.0604 or 2.0531. Then a correction to 2.0718 is anticipated. A clear break of 2.0450 is again bearish.
EUR-CHF
1.6482. Decline should be supported around 1.6467 - 1.6451 zone for rally to above 1.6525. A clear break of 1.6451 will damage this expected rally.
EUR-JPY
162.09. Current move should be supported in 161.83 zone for a rise to above 164.47. A break below 160.37 opens the way down.
EUR-GBP
0.7152. It should be subject to more sell off towards 0.7130 or 0.7109. Corrective upward swings should face resistance around 0.7165 area. A break of 0.7178 is bullish.
AUD-USD
0.8813. While above 0.8794 - 0.8757 zone a corrective upmove could test 0.8859 or 0.8886. After which it should resume its downtrend.
USD-CAD
0.9983. It should trade lower to 0.9881. Resistances are at 0.9989 and 1.0039. A break of 1.0119 is bullish.


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Forex Calendar - 30 November 2007

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Forex Calendar
(GMT -5) Eastern Time (US & Canada)

Fri
Nov 30
12:00am EUR Medium Impact Expected
ECB President Trichet Speaks




4:30am USD Medium Impact Expected
Fed Governor Mishkin Speaks




6:15am JPY Medium Impact Expected
Manufacturing PMI

50.8
49.5
49.5
6:30am JPY Medium Impact Expected
Core CPI y/y

0.1%
0.0%
-0.1%
6:30am JPY Medium Impact Expected
Core Tokyo CPI y/y

0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
6:30am JPY Medium Impact Expected
Overall Household Spending y/y

0.6%
0.5%
3.2%
6:30am JPY Low Impact Expected
Unemployment Rate

4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
7:00am USD Medium Impact Expected
Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks




7:30am AUD Low Impact Expected
Current Account


-16.3B
-16.0B
12:00pm JPY Low Impact Expected
Housing Starts y/y


-36.7%
-44.0%
1:45pm CHF Medium Impact Expected
GDP q/q


0.7%
0.7%
1:45pm CHF Medium Impact Expected
CPI m/m


0.2%
0.9%
2:00pm EUR Low Impact Expected
German Retail Sales m/m


-0.4%
1.6%
5:00pm EUR Medium Impact Expected
CPI y/y (p)


2.7%
2.6%
5:00pm EUR Low Impact Expected
GDP q/q (r)


0.7%
0.7%
5:00pm EUR Low Impact Expected
Consumer Confidence


-6
-6
5:30pm GBP Medium Impact Expected
Consumer Confidence


-9
-8
8:30pm USD Medium Impact Expected
Core PCE Price Index m/m


0.2%
0.2%
8:30pm USD Medium Impact Expected
Personal Spending m/m


0.3%
0.3%
8:30pm USD Low Impact Expected
Personal Income m/m


0.4%
0.4%
8:30pm CAD High Impact Expected
GDP m/m


0.1%
0.2%
9:45pm USD Medium Impact Expected
Chicago PMI


51.0
49.7
10:00pm USD Low Impact Expected
Construction Spending m/m


-0.2%
0.3%


From: ForexFactory



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Forex Calendar - 30 November 2007

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Forex Calendar
(GMT -5) Eastern Time (US & Canada)

Fri
Nov 30
12:00am EUR Medium Impact Expected
ECB President Trichet Speaks




4:30am USD Medium Impact Expected
Fed Governor Mishkin Speaks




6:15am JPY Medium Impact Expected
Manufacturing PMI

50.8
49.5
49.5
6:30am JPY Medium Impact Expected
Core CPI y/y

0.1%
0.0%
-0.1%
6:30am JPY Medium Impact Expected
Core Tokyo CPI y/y

0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
6:30am JPY Medium Impact Expected
Overall Household Spending y/y

0.6%
0.5%
3.2%
6:30am JPY Low Impact Expected
Unemployment Rate

4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
7:00am USD Medium Impact Expected
Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks




7:30am AUD Low Impact Expected
Current Account


-16.3B
-16.0B
12:00pm JPY Low Impact Expected
Housing Starts y/y


-36.7%
-44.0%
1:45pm CHF Medium Impact Expected
GDP q/q


0.7%
0.7%
1:45pm CHF Medium Impact Expected
CPI m/m


0.2%
0.9%
2:00pm EUR Low Impact Expected
German Retail Sales m/m


-0.4%
1.6%
5:00pm EUR Medium Impact Expected
CPI y/y (p)


2.7%
2.6%
5:00pm EUR Low Impact Expected
GDP q/q (r)


0.7%
0.7%
5:00pm EUR Low Impact Expected
Consumer Confidence


-6
-6
5:30pm GBP Medium Impact Expected
Consumer Confidence


-9
-8
8:30pm USD Medium Impact Expected
Core PCE Price Index m/m


0.2%
0.2%
8:30pm USD Medium Impact Expected
Personal Spending m/m


0.3%
0.3%
8:30pm USD Low Impact Expected
Personal Income m/m


0.4%
0.4%
8:30pm CAD High Impact Expected
GDP m/m


0.1%
0.2%
9:45pm USD Medium Impact Expected
Chicago PMI


51.0
49.7
10:00pm USD Low Impact Expected
Construction Spending m/m


-0.2%
0.3%


From: ForexFactory



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